Rupee rises 25 paise to 86.80 against U.S. dollar in early trade

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The rupee appreciated 25 paise to 86.80 against the U.S. dollar in early trade on Monday (March 17, 2025), as domestic equities opened on a higher note and Asian currencies continued to remain on the stronger side.

Forex traders said the rupee could extend its gains in the near-term, as the dovish Fed expectation has pressured the greenback, further aiding the rupee’s recovery.

However, global risk sentiment and oil price movements will play a crucial role in determining the next leg of the rupee’s trajectory.

At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 86.90 against the greenback, then gained some ground and touched 86.80 against the greenback, up 25 paise from its previous close.

On Thursday, the rupee surged 17 paise to settle at 87.05 against the U.S. dollar.

Forex, stock markets were closed on Friday on the occasion of Holi festival.

“The USD/INR pair is expected to trade within the 86.80-87.40 range in the near to medium-term. A breakout beyond this band could trigger an additional move of 30-50 paise in the same direction, keeping market participants on high alert for potential volatility,” CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari said.

Market participants will also keep a close watch on the RBI’s stance, as potential intervention could impact the rupee movement.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading 0.01% lower at 103.70.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was trading 0.71% higher at $71.08 per barrel in futures trade.

In the domestic equity market, the 30-share BSE Sensex was trading 405.89 points, or 0.55%, higher at 74,234.80 points, while the Nifty was up 153.65 points, or 0.69%, at 22,550.85 points.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) offloaded equities worth ₹792.90 crore on net basis on Thursday, according to exchange data.

Meanwhile, the country’s foreign exchange reserves increased by $15.267 billion to $653.966 billion during the week ended March 7, according to the RBI.

The overall reserves had dropped by $1.781 billion to $638.698 billion in the previous week.

The reserves had been on a declining trend recently due to revaluation along with forex market interventions by RBI to help reduce volatilities in the rupee.